Forecasting Recessions Using Stall Speeds (J. J. Nalewaik, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System). Click here to download the working paper version.
Forecasting and Nowcasting GDP with Real-Time Datasets: An ECM-MIDAS Approach (T. B. Goetz, A. Hecq and J.P Urbain, Maastricht University). Click here to download the working paper version.
A Unified Framework to Real-Time Signal Extraction and Data Revisions. (M. Wildi, Institute of Data Analysis and Process Design). Click here to download the working paper version.
Forecasting Exchange Rate Densities Using Panels and Model Averaging (A. Garratt (University of Warwick) and E. Mise (University of Leicester)). Economic Modelling. Click here to download the paper published under the title ‘Forecasting exchange rates using panel model and model averaging‘.
Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach (K. A. Aastveit (Norges Bank), K. R. Gerdrup (Norges Bank), A.S Jore (Norges Bank) and L.A. Thorsrud (BI Norwegian Business School and Norges Bank)). Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. Click here to download the paper.
The Meta Taylor Rule (K. Lee (University of Nottingham), J. Morley (University of New South Wales) and K. Shields (University of Melbourne)). Journal of Money Credit and Banking. Click here to download the paper.
The Credit Cycle and the Business Cycle in Canada and the U.S.: Two Solitudes? (P. L. Siklos and B. Lavender, Wilfrid Laurier University). Canadian Public Policy Click here to download the paper.
Analyzing the Effect of Data Revisions on Predictive Densities in a Small-Scale DSGE Model (D. Croushore (University of Richmond) and K. Sill (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia)).
Have market views on the sustainability of fiscal burdens influenced monetary authorities’ credibility? (G. Galati (De Nederlandsche Bank), J. Lewis (De Nederlandsche Bank), S. Poelhekke (VU University Amsterdam; De Nederlandsche Bank) and C. Zhou (De Nederlandsche Bank; Erasmus University Rotterdam)). Click here to download the working paper version.